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Title: A Simulated Investment Analysis For A Gas Pipeline Company
Author: Hal Miller
Source: American Gas Association 1974
Year Published: 1974
Abstract: The supply and demand schedules for todays gas pipeline companies are probabilistic in form and dynamistic in nature. These factors along with the other uncertainties associated with gas supply investment decisions, must be considered in order to properly evaluate decision alternatives. These dynamic, uncertain and interrelated decision elements can be properly evaluated through computer based simulation where each element not known precisely is considered as a random variate to be simulated. The result of such a simulation is the expected profit and loss (variance from the perfect decision) of each investment alternative evaluated over its anticipated life.




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