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Title: An Updated View Of LNG Safety
Author: D. Blackmore, J. Eyre, J. Martin
Source: American Gas Association 1982
Year Published: 1982
Abstract: Investigations into dispersion of refrigerated gas spillages, and the effects of combustion of the vapours released, have been proceeding now steadily for a number of years -and in a major way since the AGA sponsored tests reported in 1973. Considerable progress has been made in limiting the range of uncertainty in predicting the consequences of such events and it is perhaps time to sit back a while and reconsider the motivation for continuing this very expensive research. The prime objective of our inquiries is surely to obtain a better assessment of the risks attendant upon using refrigerated gases and particularly in the transportation, storage and handling phases of the operations. Since risk is a product of frequency and consequence of an event, logically it might seem that there is little point in pursuing accuracy in one parameter if the other is only crudely assessed. Nevertheless, this is the position in which we find ourselves today: we are often unable to define the frequency of the primary causal event to an accuracy better than a second order of magnitude and yet we seek to know some of the effects -for instance, dispersion to LFL to some 50% accuracy.

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