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Title: Probability Of LNG Spills In Boston Harbor A Comparison With Conventional Tanker Spills
Author: L Cave, m. Kazarians
Source: American Gas Association 1979
Year Published: 1979
Abstract: In order to compare the probabilities of large, rapid spills from conventional tankers and from an LNG ship in Boston Harbor it was necessary to estimate the probability distributions for the size of spill from each type of vessel for certain types of accidents. Consideration of the rates of spill from conventional tankers showed that only collisions, fires and explosions were potential causes of large, rapid spills (defined in this study as spills if more than 2000 tons at a rate of at least 600 tons per minute). However, for LNG ships, it was found necessary to consider also grounding and ramming accidents as well as the effects of external hazards such as hurricanes and earthquakes.

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