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Title: Probability Of Design Peak() Day Occurrence
Author: Robert W. Juskus, Albert m. Liebetrau
Source: American Gas Association 1978
Year Published: 1978
Abstract: One of the basic functions of a gas distribution company is to develop criteria for sizing the gas distribution system as well as for ensuring gas supply deiiverability on a daily basis. One of these criteria manifests itself in the selection of a design day, which is usually defined in terms of one or more extreme weather parameter occurrences. Most gas utilities define their design day in terms of a very low average daily temperature -5, OF. +-5F, etc.) the magnitude of which is a function of local prevailing weather conditions which in turn will dictate the probabihty of design day occurrence. Once a design day definition has been established, statistical regression techniques may then be used to estimate the gas sendout associated with design day.

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