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Title: Mathematical Models For Short Term Natural Gas Demand Forecasting
Author: Ronald H. Brown, Brian m. Marx, George F. Corliss, Thomas F. Quinn
Source: American Gas Association 2007
Year Published: 2007
Abstract: A Local Distribution Company (LDC) faces many challenges in the business of supplying gas to its customers. The LDC must operate its systems to assure delivery of gas in adequate volumes at required pressures under all circumstances. For efficient, economical, and safe operation, the daily gas demanded by the customers must be known a few days in advance with some degree of accuracy. This paper discusses methods to predict aggregate daily demand of the customers of an LDC. Similar models may also be used to forecast hourly demands, as well as monthly and longer-term demands

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