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Title: Risk Analysis Approach To Planning Peak Day Gas Capacity
Author: Joseph A. Masino
Source: American Gas Association 1981
Year Published: 1981
Abstract: In order to plan for the future in any industry, projections must be made for those important factors impacting decision making: sales forecast, raw materia! availability and cost, money availability and cost, future technology, and government policy. But the environment in which most companies, especially we in the energy industry, operate today is characterized by an ever increasing degree of uncertainty. This uncertainty has resulted in a continual reassessment of the assumptions used for most of these factors. To cope with these ongoing changes, to evaluate their impact, computer models have become a necessity.

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